IB Biology SL Inquiry Stage 3 — Conclude & Evaluate Internal assessment Core skill ~9 min read

Drawing Conclusions

A conclusion is short. That surprises people who have just spent three weeks on an investigation, but its job is narrow: answer the research question, back the answer with your own numbers, and say how much confidence the data supports. Nothing new goes in here — if it was not in your analysis, it does not belong.

📘 What you need to know

What goes in, and in what order

A conclusion has a shape. Follow it and you will not leave anything out, and you will not drift into evaluation, which is a separate section with its own marks.

Five sentences, in this order 1. the direct answer 2. your key values as evidence 3. hypothesis supported or refuted 4. comparison with the theory 5. how confident you can be answer the question asked the optimum, the intercept say which, in one sentence published value, cited based on the spread A paragraph, not an essay. Everything here was already in your analysis.
If you find yourself explaining something for the first time in the conclusion, it belonged in the interpretation. If you find yourself criticising your method, it belongs in the evaluation.

Answer the question you actually asked

Go back to your research question and answer it in the first sentence, using the same variables and the same units. Then give the numbers that prove it — the optimum from your graph, the value at each end of the range, the intercept if there is one.

WORKED EXAMPLE

Write a conclusion for the amylase investigation: rate of starch breakdown measured at 10, 20, 30, 40 and 50 °C, with a peak rate of 0.0167 s−1 at 40 °C.

1. The direct answer Temperature has a clear effect on the rate of starch breakdown by amylase: the rate rises to a maximum and then falls. 2. The evidence, in numbers The rate increased from 0.00412 s−1 at 10 °C to a maximum of 0.0167 s−1 at 40 °C, then fell to 0.00758 s−1 at 50 °C. The optimum temperature was therefore 40 °C. 3. The hypothesis This supports the hypothesis that activity would rise to an optimum and then fall as the enzyme denatured. 4. The scientific context An optimum near body temperature is consistent with amylase functioning in a mammalian digestive system. 5. Confidence Standard deviations were small (1.4–4.0 s) and error bars at 30 and 40 °C did not overlap, so the position of the optimum is well supported. Answer, evidence, hypothesis, context, confidence Five sentences and it is done. Notice there is no mention of what went wrong — that is the evaluation’s job.

Supported or refuted? Say it plainly

Your hypothesis made a prediction with a reason attached. The conclusion has to state whether your data backed it. Students hedge here, and hedging costs marks.

A refuted hypothesis is not a failed experiment. It is a genuine result, and stating it clearly shows more scientific maturity than quietly rewording your prediction to match what you found. You then suggest reasons for the mismatch — in the evaluation, not here.
WORKED EXAMPLE

A student predicted the optimum would be 50 °C. The data gave 40 °C. How should the conclusion handle this?

State the mismatch directly The results do not support the hypothesis. The predicted optimum was 50 °C, but the highest rate was recorded at 40 °C, with the rate at 50 °C less than half the peak value. Say what the data does show Activity had already begun to fall by 50 °C, indicating denaturation was under way at a lower temperature than predicted. What not to do Do not write that the optimum was “roughly 40 to 50 °C” to make the prediction look right. Your 50 °C rate is clearly below the 40 °C rate, and the error bars do not overlap. Hypothesis refuted — stated clearly, with the evidence The reasons why the prediction was wrong go in the evaluation. Here you only report what happened.

Compare with the accepted science

A conclusion that stops at your own data is fine. One that measures itself against what is already known is better, because it lets you say something about accuracy.

Percentage error (your value − accepted value) ÷ accepted value × 100
Measuring yourself against the published value 30 35 40 45 50 accepted: 37 °C your value: 40 °C (40 − 37) ÷ 37 × 100 = 8.11% A small percentage error supports a claim about accuracy; a large one raises a question.
Percentage error only works where a single accepted value exists. For many biological questions there is no such number, so compare against the expected pattern instead.
Watch the wording: percentage error compares you to an accepted value, while percentage uncertainty comes from your equipment. They are different numbers doing different jobs, and swapping them is a common slip.

How far can you push the claim?

The spread of your data sets a ceiling on what you are allowed to say. Small, non-overlapping error bars let you make a firm claim. Wide or overlapping ones do not — and if the data cannot settle the question, saying so is the correct answer.

Let the spread decide how strongly you write small bars, no overlap the rate at 40 °C is higher than at 30 °C bars overlap slightly the rate appears higher, though the difference may be chance large bars, heavy overlap no difference can be claimed from this data Saying the data is inconclusive is a proper conclusion, not an admission of defeat.
Overclaiming is the more expensive mistake. A firm statement your error bars cannot support reads as though you did not look at your own graph.

💡 Exam tip

⚠ Common mix-up

Up next: Evaluating the Method — identifying the real weaknesses in your procedure, tracing what each one did to your result, and suggesting fixes that would actually work.

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