IB ESS HL Topic 4 — Water Systems Paper 1 & 2 Core idea ~10 min read

How Humans Change the Water Cycle

We cannot create or destroy water, so we do the next best thing: we move it, speed it up and block its path. Almost every human impact in this topic works the same way — it shifts the balance between water that soaks in and water that runs off. Get that one sentence and the rest of the page writes itself.

📘 What you need to know

Three ways people rewrite the cycle

Irrigation

Irrigation means supplying water to crops artificially. It changes where water is and when it is there, which is exactly what a hydrological cycle is made of.

Deforestation

A forest works like a sponge with a lid. The canopy catches rain and slows it down (interception), roots hold the soil open so water can sink in, and the trees return a huge amount of water to the air.

Take the trees away and every part of that breaks:

Urbanisation

Cities replace soil and plants with concrete, tarmac and roof tiles. These are impermeable, which means water simply cannot get through.

Same rainfall, two very different outcomes Typical shares of rainfall after it lands NATURAL SURFACE Run-off 10% Soaks in 50% Back to air 40% SEALED CITY SURFACE Run-off 55% Soaks in 15% Back to air 30% Sealing the ground turns a slow trickle into a fast flood Values are typical, not fixed — use them to show the direction of change
The rain has not changed. What changed is the route it takes once it lands, and that is the whole point of every human impact in this section.
Notice that all three activities push in the same direction: less water going down into the ground, more water racing across the surface. If you can only remember one thing under exam pressure, remember that.

Steady state: the water budget of a lake

A water body is in a steady state when the water coming in equals the water going out. The lake still has water arriving and leaving all the time — it is busy, not still — but the level stays about the same. That is a dynamic balance, not a frozen one.

The rule for any water store total inputs − total outputs = change in the store
Water budget of a lake (units per year) Inputs on the left, outputs on the right LAKE River inflow 120 Rainfall 45 Groundwater in 25 Surface run-off 20 River outflow 130 Evaporation 40 Groundwater out 20 TOTAL IN 210 SPARE 20 TOTAL OUT 190 Take up to 20 units a year and the lake stays in a steady state Take more than 20 and the level starts to fall
The spare capacity in a budget like this is the sustainable harvest. It is the number an exam question will usually ask you to find.

Sustainable and unsustainable harvesting

Sustainable water harvesting means taking water no faster than nature replaces it. Add up the inputs, add up the natural outputs, and whatever is left over is the most you can safely remove.

Go past that and the store shrinks. With a lake you see it happen — the shoreline retreats. With an aquifer you often do not, because the damage is underground, which is why over-extraction is so common. Keep taking, and:

Fossil water is a warning case. Some aquifers hold water that fell as rain thousands of years ago and are barely recharged today. Pumping them is closer to mining coal than to harvesting a crop — when it is gone, it is gone.

Worked examples

WORKED EXAMPLE 1

Finding the sustainable harvest from a lake

A lake receives river inflow (120 units), rainfall (45), groundwater inflow (25) and surface run-off (20). It loses river outflow (130), evaporation (40) and groundwater outflow (20). Calculate the largest amount that can be extracted each year without changing the lake level.

Step 1: add the inputs 120 + 45 + 25 + 20 = 210 units Step 2: add the natural outputs 130 + 40 + 20 = 190 units Step 3: the difference is the spare water 210 − 190 = 20 units Up to 20 units per year extraction is an extra output, so it can only use up water the lake was not already losing
WORKED EXAMPLE 2

An aquifer being pumped too hard

An aquifer gains precipitation (60 units) and infiltration (55 units). It loses natural discharge (25), subsurface flow (35) and extraction for towns and industry (95). Calculate the annual deficit and the total loss after 10 years, then state what this means for the aquifer.

Step 1: inputs 60 + 55 = 115 units Step 2: outputs 25 + 35 + 95 = 155 units Step 3: deficit 155 − 115 = 40 units per year Step 4: over ten years 40 × 10 = 400 units lost Deficit 40 units per year outputs beat inputs, so this is unsustainable — the water table falls year after year and the aquifer is being depleted
WORKED EXAMPLE 3

Explain why clearing a forest increases flooding downstream [4]

Write an answer that would earn all four marks.

Build a chain, one link per mark Trees are removed, so there is no canopy to intercept rain Link 2 Bare soil compacts and roots no longer keep it open, so infiltration falls Link 3 The rain that cannot soak in becomes surface run-off, which reaches the river far faster Link 4 River level rises quickly after the storm and the channel overflows Cause → process → consequence each arrow in the chain is worth a mark — never jump from “trees cut down” straight to “flooding”

💡 Exam tip

⚠ Common mix-up

Up next: Why Water Behaves the Way It Does — the HL section on the properties of water, and why one lopsided molecule explains floating ice, rising sap and a stable climate.

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