IB ESS HL Topic 6 — Atmosphere & Climate Change HL only Evaluation topic ~12 min read

Geoengineering the Climate

Geoengineering is the deliberate, large-scale alteration of Earth’s climate system. Some of it is sensible and already happening. Some of it exists only on paper and alarms the scientists who study it most closely. The examiner does not want you to pick a side — they want you to see clearly why the arguments on each side are strong.

📚 What you need to know

Mitigation technology first

Before the exotic ideas, the ordinary ones. Renewable energy technologies — solar, wind, hydro and geothermal — keep getting cheaper and more efficient, which is what makes replacing fossil fuels at large scale realistic rather than aspirational. Carbon capture and storage catches emissions from power stations and industry and stores them underground, with direct air capture pulling carbon dioxide straight from the air. Energy efficiency technologies cut consumption: smart buildings use sensors and software to manage lighting, heating and cooling, and electric vehicles replace petrol and diesel.

Smart cities use technology to reduce urban emissions — apps and sensors that help people find charging points or recycling, and public transport apps that shift journeys away from private cars. Agriculture and forestry innovations increase carbon storage and cut land-use emissions: precision agriculture uses sensors and drones to monitor crops and minimise fertiliser use, which reduces nitrous oxide release, and sustainable forestry manages forests scientifically to raise their carbon storage.

The two families of geoengineering

Every geoengineering proposal you will meet does one of two things. It either reduces the energy arriving, or it reduces the gas trapping it. That single split organises the entire topic.

TWO WAYS TO INTERVENE, VERY DIFFERENT RISKS Turn down the incoming energy, or take out the gas that traps it reflective particles bounce part of it back the rest still reaches the ground surface cools CO₂ CO₂ CO₂ CO₂ CO₂ forests machines oceans SRM: block some sunlight CDR: remove the gas
The asymmetry matters. CDR fixes the actual problem, slowly and expensively. SRM masks the symptom, quickly and cheaply, while carbon dioxide keeps building up behind the mask.

Solar radiation management

Carbon dioxide removal

Why BECCS is the clever one on paper. Plants take carbon out of the air. Burn them and you would put it straight back — unless you capture it and store it underground. Do that and the net movement of carbon is out of the atmosphere. The catch is land: growing enough biomass to matter would compete with food production and with the forests we already need.

The problem with masking a symptom

SRM has a specific failure mode that is worth understanding properly, because it is the strongest single argument against it. Reflecting sunlight lowers the temperature but does nothing to the carbon dioxide, which keeps accumulating. If the programme were ever stopped — because of cost, war, or political disagreement — the masked warming would arrive all at once.

WHY STOPPING WOULD BE THE DANGEROUS PART Schematic illustration of termination shock global temperature rise (°C) 1 2 3 4 2020 2045 2070 2095 2120 programme stops warming without SRM with SRM: cooler surface TERMINATION SHOCK Decades of avoided warming would arrive in about ten years. Ecosystems can often survive slow change. Almost nothing survives it this fast.
This is why SRM is described as a commitment rather than a solution: once started at scale, stopping becomes dangerous, so a future generation inherits an obligation it never agreed to.
Bring this into any evaluation of SRM and it will lift your answer. The technical objection is that SRM does not touch carbon dioxide, so ocean acidification carries on regardless. The deeper objection is about governance: who decides the global thermostat setting, and what happens when one country’s ideal temperature causes another country’s monsoon to fail? These questions have no technical answer at all.

Techniques at a glance

TechniqueFamilyHow it worksMain concern
Stratospheric aerosol injectionSRMReflective particles released high in the atmosphere reduce incoming sunlightMay shift rainfall patterns and cause drought in some regions
Space mirrorsSRMOrbiting mirrors reflect sunlight away before it reaches the atmosphereOnly proposals and experiments so far; extremely costly and complex
Cloud brighteningSRMSea salt sprayed into ocean clouds makes them whiter and more reflectiveLocal effects on weather are poorly understood
Ocean fertilisationCDRAdded nutrients such as iron boost algal growth, which absorbs carbon dioxideCould seriously disrupt marine ecosystems; long-term effects unknown
Direct air captureCDRMachines extract carbon dioxide from ambient air for storage or useHigh cost and very high energy demand
BECCSCDRBiomass is burned for energy and the carbon dioxide is captured and storedRequires large areas of land that compete with food and forest

The argument, both sides

For

Against

WORKED EXAMPLE

Distinguish between solar radiation management and carbon dioxide removal. [2]

Mark 1 — SRM SRM reflects incoming sunlight away from Earth to lower surface temperature, for example by injecting reflective aerosols into the stratosphere. Mark 2 — CDR CDR removes carbon dioxide already in the atmosphere and stores it, for example by direct air capture or BECCS. 2 / 2 One reduces energy in; the other reduces the gas that holds energy. Each with an example.
WORKED EXAMPLE

Evaluate the use of geoengineering as a response to climate change. [6]

Point 1 — define and frame Geoengineering deliberately alters climate systems at large scale, treating symptoms rather than the underlying cause of rising greenhouse gases. Point 2 — argument for speed SRM could cool the planet far faster than emissions cuts, which act only over decades, so it may reduce short-term risk. Point 3 — argument for insurance It offers a backup if mitigation fails, and CDR methods such as BECCS may be necessary to reach net zero in sectors that cannot decarbonise. Point 4 — scientific objection Effects are highly uncertain: aerosols could shift rainfall patterns and cause regional drought, and SRM does nothing about ocean acidification. Point 5 — political objection Because countries would be affected unequally, control of any global system would be contested, and its apparent availability could reduce pressure to cut emissions. Point 6 — judgement On balance, CDR has a defensible role within a mitigation strategy, while SRM is better viewed as an emergency measure of last resort rather than an alternative to reducing emissions. 6 / 6 A six-mark evaluate needs an actual judgement at the end. Sitting on the fence costs the final mark.

💡 Exam tip

⚠️ Common mix-up

Up next: Why Climate Intervention Is Hard — the belief, money, leadership and inequality barriers that stop good strategies being carried out, and the economic logic underneath all of them.

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