IB ESS SL & HL 1.3 Sustainability Paper 1 & 2 ~13 min read

Rethinking Economic Models

If the planetary boundaries set a ceiling and human needs set a floor, the obvious question is what kind of economy fits between them. Two models answer it: the doughnut, which draws the space, and the circular economy, which redesigns the flows inside it.

📘 What you need to know

Doughnut economics

The doughnut economics model provides a framework for building an economy that meets the needs of all people while staying within the ecological limits of the planet. It emphasises creating an economy that is regenerative and distributive.

The doughnut: a floor and a ceiling Fall through the inner ring and people suffer; break the outer and the planet does SHORTFALL needs unmet SAFE AND JUST SPACE the goal: an economy that stays here ECOLOGICAL CEILING from planetary boundaries climate, water, biodiversity SOCIAL FOUNDATION from the social SDGs health, education, water Today billions fall short of the floor while we have broken through the ceiling
The model’s instruction is simply “move into the doughnut”: lift everyone above the social foundation without pushing past the ecological ceiling.

Regenerative and distributive design

What it meansExample
Regenerative economyWorks within the natural cycles and limits of the planet, aiming to restore and renew resources rather than deplete themTransitioning from fossil fuels to renewable sources such as solar and wind
Distributive economyShares value and opportunities more equitably among all stakeholders, reducing inequalityPolicies such as universal basic income providing economic security for all citizens

The two boundaries

Together they represent the minimum conditions for an economy that is ecologically safe and socially just, which is why the middle of the doughnut is called the safe and just space for humanity.

Moving into the doughnut

Today, billions of people still fall short of the social foundation, while humanity has collectively overshot most of the planetary boundaries — we have broken through the ecological ceiling. The objective is therefore to “move into the doughnut” and establish an economy that lets all societies prosper in harmony with the living world. Making economies regenerative and distributive by design is the only way to achieve it, which requires drastic change beginning with policies and practices that promote sustainability and equity.

Uses of the doughnut modelLimitations of the doughnut model
Supports environmental justice by including both ecological and social elementsLacks specificity: broad principles but little detailed guidance on policy, and critics call it too theoretical
Raises awareness, having reached popular attention and highlighting how social and environmental issues connectChallenges in application: translating it into effective local or national strategies is complex
Applied at various scales, from countries to cities to individual businessesChanging nature: the boundaries may need adjusting as understanding evolves and new data emerges
Promotes interdisciplinary collaboration between economists, environmentalists, policymakers and communities
You need to be able to clearly outline the social foundation and the ecological ceiling, and to define regenerative and distributive in an economic context. The easiest way to remember which ring is which: the social foundation is a floor you must not fall below, so it is on the inside; the ecological ceiling is a limit you must not rise above, so it is on the outside.

The circular economy

The circular economy model is a sustainable economic system designed to minimise waste and maximise resource efficiency. It aims to decouple economic growth from the consumption of finite resources.

Linear against circular One model ends in a landfill; the other has no end LINEAR: take — make — waste take make use waste CIRCULAR: materials keep moving make use reuse, repair, remanufacture and recycle the technical cycle: materials return to production the biological cycle Biodegradable material returns to nature; everything else keeps circulating
The Ellen MacArthur Foundation’s butterfly diagram shows these two cycles as the wings either side of the production chain.

The three principles

  1. Eliminating waste and pollution. Reducing waste generation and minimising pollution, redesigning products and processes to eliminate waste at source. Example: designing products from biodegradable materials to cut landfill waste.
  2. Circulating products and materials. Keeping products, components and materials at their highest utility and value for as long as possible through reuse, repair, remanufacturing and recycling. Example: furniture companies offering repair services to extend product lifespan.
  3. Regenerating nature. Restoring and enhancing natural capital while promoting economic growth, through reforestation, sustainable agriculture and ecosystem restoration. Example: regenerative agriculture techniques that improve soil health and biodiversity.

The butterfly diagram

The Ellen MacArthur Foundation introduced the butterfly diagram to represent the circular economy visually. It contrasts with the linear model (take–make–waste) by showing a continuous flow of resources. Within the circular economy there are two cycles:

Uses of the circular economyLimitations of the circular economy
Regeneration of natural systems, supporting ecosystem restoration and biodiversity conservationLack of environmental awareness among consumers and companies about why circular practices matter
Reduction of greenhouse gas emissions through energy efficiency and renewable resourcesLack of regulation enforcing or incentivising recycling
Improved local food networks and support for local communities through sustainable agricultureSome waste is not recyclable for technical reasons, such as mixed-material packaging that cannot be separated
Reduced waste by extending product life cycles through durability, repairability and recyclabilityLack of finance, with high upfront costs for transitioning, especially for small businesses
Changed consumer habits, encouraging mindful consumption and responsible choices

Worked examples

WE 1

The doughnut’s two rings

Outline the social foundation and ecological ceiling of the doughnut economics model. (4 marks)

The social foundation The inner ring, based on the social SDGs. It represents the minimum standards for human wellbeing, including access to education, healthcare, social protection, clean water and sanitation. The ecological ceiling The outer ring, based on planetary boundaries science. It represents the limits of Earth’s ecosystems and resources, such as sustainable freshwater use. The space between Together they set the minimum conditions for an economy that is ecologically safe and socially just — the “safe and just space for humanity”. Where we are now Billions still fall short of the social foundation while humanity has overshot most of the planetary boundaries. A floor for people, a ceiling for the planet, and a safe space in between naming the SDGs and planetary boundaries as the two sources earns credit
WE 2

Linear against circular

Compare the linear and circular economic models. (4 marks)

The linear model Follows take–make–waste: resources are extracted, made into products, used, then discarded, so material leaves the system permanently. The circular model Designed to minimise waste and maximise resource efficiency, keeping products, components and materials at their highest utility and value for as long as possible. How it does this Through two cycles: the biological cycle returning biodegradable products to the environment, and the technical cycle recycling, reusing, repairing and remanufacturing. The underlying aim The circular model seeks to decouple economic growth from the consumption of finite resources, which the linear model cannot do. One consumes resources once; the other keeps them in circulation “decouple growth from finite resource consumption” is the key phrase
WE 3

Evaluating the doughnut

Evaluate the doughnut economics model. (4 marks)

Strength 1: it covers both dimensions By including ecological and social elements it supports environmental justice, addressing the main gap in the planetary boundaries model. Strength 2: reach and flexibility It has reached popular awareness and can be applied at various scales, from countries to cities to individual businesses, encouraging interdisciplinary collaboration. Limitation 1: lack of specificity It offers broad principles but little detailed guidance on the policies needed to implement it, and critics call it too theoretical. Limitation 2: application and change Translating it into effective local or national strategies is complex, and its boundaries may need adjusting as understanding evolves. The best framing of the problem currently available, but not yet a set of instructions contrasting it with planetary boundaries shows you understand why it exists

💡 Exam tips

⚠ Common mistakes

That completes 1.3 Sustainability. Seven notes tracing one argument: sustainability needs a definition, a development pathway, a fair distribution, measurable indicators, data to feed them, ecological limits to respect, and finally an economic model built to fit inside those limits. Up next is Topic 2: Ecology, where you start applying all of it to real ecosystems.

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