IB ESS HL Topic 2 — Ecology Paper 1 & 2 Practical skill ~11 min read

Sampling and Studying Populations

Nobody counts every dandelion in a field. Ecologists count a small part of it and scale up. This page covers how to choose where to sample, how to use quadrats and transects, and how to estimate the size of a population of animals that will not stand still — plus the calculations that come with each.

📚 What you need to know

Populations and samples

Measuring the whole population is called a census. It gives accurate results and includes everything, but it is slow, expensive and produces a mountain of data. Sampling is quicker and cheaper, but it can be unrepresentative, especially if the sample is small or badly chosen.

ApproachAdvantagesDisadvantages
Whole population (census)Accurate; nothing is missedTime-consuming, expensive, huge amount of data
SampleQuicker, cheaper, easier to analyseMay be biased or unrepresentative; small samples are unreliable
The fix for an unreliable sample is almost always the same: take more samples and calculate a mean. Say that in any question asking how to improve reliability.

Random or systematic?

The two methods answer different questions, so choosing between them is a judgement, not a rule.

Where to put your sample points each cross is one quadrat position in the same field RANDOM positions chosen by random numbers SYSTEMATIC positions spaced at fixed intervals Random for a uniform area. Systematic when conditions change across it. Random removes bias; systematic lets you follow a gradient such as a slope.
Random sampling protects against choosing the easy-looking patches. Systematic sampling is the right choice when you want to see change from one end of a site to the other.

🧩 Setting up a random sample

  1. Lay two tape measures at right angles along the edges of the site to make a grid, for example 20 m by 20 m.
  2. Generate random coordinates with a random number generator, for example 7 and 13.
  3. Place the quadrat at that point and record what is inside it.
  4. Repeat many times and calculate a mean per quadrat.
  5. Scale up to the whole area using the total area and the quadrat area.

Transects: sampling along a gradient

When physical conditions change across a site — up a beach, up a hillside, away from a path — random sampling would hide the pattern. A transect follows the change instead.

Pair the biological data with abiotic measurements at each point — light, soil pH, moisture, altitude — and you can suggest which factor is driving the change in species.

Quadrats: what to record

MeasurementHow you record itBest used when
Abundance (count)Count every individual of the species inside the quadrat.Individuals are easy to tell apart, such as daisies.
Percentage coverEstimate what fraction of the quadrat area the species covers.Individuals are impossible to separate, such as grass or moss.
Percentage frequencyCount how many of the small squares in the quadrat contain the species.You want a quick, repeatable measure that is less subjective than cover.
Working out percentage frequency a 1 m by 1 m quadrat divided into 100 small squares Shaded squares = 37 Total squares = 100 % frequency = (37 ÷ 100) × 100 = 37% Frequency and cover measure abundance, not actual population size. A square counts as present if the species covers more than half of it.
Percentage frequency is more repeatable than percentage cover, because counting squares involves much less guesswork than judging an area by eye.

Counting animals that move

Quadrats are useless for beetles, fish or voles. For mobile animals, ecologists use capture–mark–release–recapture.

🧩 The method, step by step

  1. Capture a large first sample and count it.
  2. Mark each animal in a way that does not harm it or make it obvious to predators.
  3. Release them and wait long enough for them to mix back in with the population.
  4. Recapture a second large sample and count how many of them carry marks.
  5. Calculate using the Lincoln index.
Lincoln index population estimate = (M × N) ÷ R

Here M is the number marked and released in the first sample, N is the total caught in the second sample, and R is the number of marked animals found in that second sample.

Worked examples

WORKED EXAMPLE

Scaling up from quadrats

A student places eight 1 m² quadrats at random in a 400 m² meadow and counts the daisies in each: 5, 2, 0, 4, 3, 6, 1, 5. Estimate the total number of daisies in the meadow.

Step 1: total the counts 5 + 2 + 0 + 4 + 3 + 6 + 1 + 5 = 26 Step 2: mean per quadrat 26 ÷ 8 = 3.25 daisies per m² Step 3: scale up to the whole meadow 3.25 × 400 = 1300 about 1300 daisies keep the zero in the mean — dropping empty quadrats inflates the estimate
WORKED EXAMPLE

Using the Lincoln index

Ecologists catch 124 ground beetles in pitfall traps, mark them with a dot of non-toxic paint and release them. Two days later they catch 138 beetles, of which 31 are marked. Estimate the population size and state one assumption.

Step 1: write the formula and the values M = 124, N = 138, R = 31 estimate = (124 × 138) ÷ 31 Step 2: calculate = 17112 ÷ 31 = 552 about 552 beetles Step 3: an assumption the marked beetles mixed fully back into the population and the marks did not rub off

Assumptions and limitations

Capture–mark–release–recapture only works if all of these hold, and in the field they rarely all do:

How to use this in an answer. If marks rub off, R is too small, so the estimate comes out too large. Being able to say which way an error pushes the result is a high-level skill examiners reward.

💡 Exam tip

⚠ Common mix-up

Up next: How Ecosystems Keep Functioning — from measuring populations to asking what keeps the whole system running year after year.

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