IB ESS HL Topic 2 — Ecology Paper 1 & 2 HL only ~9 min read

Tropical Cyclones in a Warming World

A tropical cyclone is a machine that runs on warm seawater. Understand how it fuels itself and the climate change link writes itself — warmer oceans mean more fuel, and more fuel means stronger storms.

📘 What you need to know

Same storm, three names

NameRegion
HurricaneAtlantic and eastern Pacific, including the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea and west coast of Mexico
TyphoonSouth China Sea and western Pacific
CycloneIndian Ocean and South Pacific, including the Bay of Bengal and northern Australia

They are the same phenomenon. Only the location changes the name.

How a cyclone fuels itself

The key idea is that this is a self-reinforcing loop. Each stage makes the next stage stronger, which is why a tropical cyclone can intensify so rapidly once it gets going.

Why a tropical cyclone keeps growing Each step makes the next one stronger WARM OCEAN above 26.5 degrees C EVAPORATION warm moist air rises CONDENSATION latent heat released PRESSURE FALLS more air pulled in self-reinforcing loop Warmer oceans feed more energy into the loop That is why intensity rises even if storm numbers do not
The loop only runs over warm water. Once a cyclone moves over land or cooler sea it loses its energy supply and weakens quickly.

Written out as a sequence:

  1. Water evaporates from ocean above 26.5 degrees C, so the air above is warm and moist.
  2. That air rises, and the water vapour condenses into clouds and rain, releasing huge amounts of latent heat energy.
  3. The released latent heat warms the surrounding air, causing it to rise further and reducing pressure at the surface.
  4. The low pressure at the centre pulls in more warm, moist air, continuing the cycle of evaporation, condensation and heat release.
  5. This continuous cycle intensifies the storm into a tropical cyclone.

The Coriolis effect, caused by the Earth’s rotation, makes the storm rotate and develop its characteristic spiral structure.

If a question asks how a cyclone forms, do not just list ingredients. Show the loop — evaporation, condensation, latent heat, falling pressure, more air drawn in. It is the feedback that turns a rainstorm into a cyclone.

What climate change is doing

Ocean warming and intensity

Global warming is warming the oceans, which provides more energy for tropical cyclones. Warmer water allows greater evaporation, so storm systems become stronger and more sustained. As sea surface temperatures rise, cyclone intensity increases, giving:

Frequency and duration

Some studies suggest that while the total number of tropical cyclones may not increase, the frequency of the most intense storms (categories 4 and 5) has risen. The Atlantic hurricane season has seen an increase in major hurricanes in recent decades.

Rising sea levels caused by global warming also contribute to higher storm surges, worsening coastal flooding during a cyclone.

Get this distinction right. The claim is not “climate change causes more hurricanes”. It is that the storms which do form are more intense, and that sea level rise makes their storm surges more damaging. Precision here is worth marks.

Evidence

EventWhat happenedClimate link
Typhoon Haiyan, 2013One of the strongest tropical cyclones ever recorded, with wind speeds exceeding 315 km/hScientists believe warmer sea temperatures increased its intensity
Hurricane Harvey, 2017Record rainfall causing catastrophic flooding in TexasWarmer waters in the Gulf of Mexico supplied the extra moisture
Long-term trendResearch indicates around a 40% increase in the likelihood of storms reaching category 3 or above since the 1980sConsistent with rising sea surface temperatures
WORKED EXAMPLE

Explain why a tropical cyclone weakens rapidly once it moves over land.

Step 1: Identify the energy source The storm runs on evaporation from ocean water above 26.5 degrees C Step 2: What changes over land no warm ocean surface, so evaporation stops Step 3: Break the loop Less condensation means less latent heat released, so the pressure at the centre rises and the feedback stops The storm loses its fuel supply and dissipates
WORKED EXAMPLE

A student writes: “Climate change is causing more hurricanes every year.” Evaluate this statement.

Step 1: What the evidence supports Warmer oceans give more energy, so intensity has risen and category 4 and 5 storms are more frequent Step 2: What it does not support total number may not be increasing Step 3: Correct the statement Add that sea level rise worsens storm surges, increasing damage independently of storm count Partly right: storms are more intense, not necessarily more numerous

💡 Exam tip

⚠ Common mix-up

That completes Topic 2 — energy and biomass, biogeochemical cycles, and climate and biomes. Go back to Following Energy Through an Ecosystem if you want to see how the whole chain fits together.

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