IB Economics HL Topic 4 — The Global Economy Paper 1, 2 & 3 Core idea ~12 min read

Trade Strategies, Diversification and Social Enterprise

More trade generally means more growth and more development. The argument is about how to get it — by shutting imports out and building at home, or by pushing exports out into the world. The two strategies point in opposite directions and are worth learning as a pair.

📚 What you need to know

Inward or outward

TWO STRATEGIES, OPPOSITE DIRECTIONS Both aim to raise output; only one raises competitiveness IMPORT SUBSTITUTION EXPORT PROMOTION LOOK INWARD LOOK OUTWARD raise tariffs and quotas imports become dearer buyers switch to local firms domestic output and jobs rise BUT higher prices, less choice, inefficiency, retaliation risk subsidise exporting firms connect them to buyers firms sell into world markets output, scale and jobs rise BUT weaker firms fail abroad, and subsidies cost revenue Protection removes the pressure that makes firms better Exporting forces firms to compete with the best in the world
That last contrast is the heart of the debate. Import substitution grows an industry; export promotion grows an industry that can survive without help.
The honest version is that most successful economies used both, in sequence. Protect a young industry while it learns, then push it into export markets before the protection makes it lazy. The difficulty is that removing protection is politically much harder than granting it.

The four strategies compared

StrategyHow it worksMain advantageMain disadvantage
Import substitutionTariffs and quotas raise import prices so consumers buy locallyLess dependence on imports and more domestic employmentHigher prices, less choice, inefficient firms protected, retaliation
Export promotionSubsidies and trade fairs help domestic firms reach international buyersEconomies of scale, specialisation, and innovation driven by competitionSome firms cannot compete and fail; the subsidies carry an opportunity cost
Economic integrationCountries agree to lower barriers between themselvesLower prices, wider choice, bigger markets, better resource allocationSome loss of sovereignty, and common external barriers can block other trade
DiversificationWidening the range of goods and services a country exportsLess exposure to the price of one commodity, and new jobsNew industries take time and money, and established rivals are hard to displace

Why diversification matters so much

ONE PILLAR OR FOUR The same economy, resting on different foundations ONE EXPORT FOUR EXPORTS THE ECONOMY THE ECONOMY if the price falls, everything falls with it if one price falls, three still hold it up FRAGILE RESILIENT Diversification is insurance you buy by building something new Which is why it takes years and cannot be done in a crisis
Countries with a single dominant export see their whole GDP rise and fall with one world price. Adding pillars is slow, expensive and the most durable fix there is.

🧩 What diversification actually fixes

  1. Price volatility. Independent products rarely all crash in the same year, so revenue smooths out.
  2. Low income elasticity. Manufactured and processed goods respond far more strongly to world growth than raw commodities.
  3. Recession exposure. A downturn hits some sectors and not others, so employment holds up better.
  4. Value added. Processing at home keeps the profit that would otherwise be earned abroad.

Social enterprise

A social enterprise trades like any other business but exists to meet a social objective as well as to survive financially. Common forms include profit sharing with workers, a focus on worker welfare, or giving employees an ownership stake in the firm.

✓ WHAT THEY DO WELL

  • Motivation and productivity. Workers who own a share of the business produce more.
  • Employment. New jobs, often in places conventional firms overlook.
  • Income where it is needed. Profits stay in the community rather than leaving it.
  • Trust. Local ownership makes it far easier to operate in places with weak institutions.

✗ WHERE THEY STRUGGLE

  • Scale. These ventures tend to be small and highly localised.
  • Costs. Without volume there are few economies of scale.
  • International competition. Competing with multinationals on price is close to impossible.
  • Capital. Raising finance is harder when profit is not the sole objective.
Keep social enterprise in proportion. It is a genuine contributor at community level and it is not a national development strategy. Saying so is good evaluation, not cynicism.

Worked examples

WORKED EXAMPLE 1

Copper accounts for 71% of a country’s exports. Its world price falls 25%. Calculate the fall in total export earnings, then explain how diversification would have helped. [4]

Step 1: the calculation 0.71 × 25% = 17.75% Step 2: why the loss is so large Because a single product dominates, one world price move passes almost directly into national export earnings. Step 3: the counterfactual If copper were 25% of exports instead, the same price fall would cost 0.25 × 25% = 6.25%. Step 4: the mechanism Diversification does not stop the copper price falling. It reduces how much of the economy that fall reaches. A 17.75% fall, against 6.25% for a diversified exporter
WORKED EXAMPLE 2

Evaluate the use of import substitution as a development strategy. [15-style plan]

Case for Protection gives infant industries space to reach a viable scale, raises domestic employment and reduces reliance on imports, which also helps the current account. Case against 1: consumers Tariffs raise prices and cut choice, and the burden falls hardest on low-income households, which can worsen development even as output rises. Case against 2: efficiency Resources are drawn towards firms that are not internationally competitive, so allocative efficiency falls and costs rise for any manufacturer using imported components. Case against 3: retaliation Trading partners may respond in kind, closing the export markets the country needs. Judgement Defensible as a temporary measure for a specific industry with a stated end date. As a permanent policy it protects inefficiency and raises the cost of living. Depends on whether the protection is time-limited and actually removed

💡 Exam tip

⚠ Common mix-up

Up next: Market-Based and Interventionist Policies — the two philosophies behind almost every development policy you will be asked to evaluate.

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