IB ESS HL Topic 10 — Environmental Economics Paper 1 & 2 Core idea ~10 min read

Doughnut and Circular Economic Models

If the economy really is a subsystem of the biosphere, the models we use to picture it should show that. Most of them do not. This page covers the models built by people who took that problem seriously — and the older ones they were built to replace.

📚 What you need to know

The test: footprint against biocapacity

Ecological economics is less interested in GDP, which only measures activity, and more interested in whether a country is living within its means ecologically. That comparison is simple:

Sustainability means not harming the environment faster than it can recover, and not removing resources faster than they regenerate and are replaced. If biocapacity is lower than the footprint, the country is running a deficit and is not sustainable.

Ecological footprint against biocapacity The sustainability test at the heart of this model gha per person 4.8 1.2 footprint biocapacity Country A: deficit 1.2 2.5 footprint biocapacity Country B: reserve Footprint above biocapacity means natural capital is being run down. Country A needs four times what its own land and sea can regenerate.
Neither country’s GDP tells you any of this. That is the point ecological economists keep making about GDP.
Why change is slow: long-standing economic systems are deeply embedded and hard to shift, and ecological economists are still working on how to measure social and environmental wellbeing accurately. It is much easier to count output than to count wellbeing, and what gets counted is what gets managed.

The circular economy

Most resources today move through a linear system: finite resources are extracted, made into products, used, and thrown away at the end of their life. More production means more waste, with no way out of that relationship.

The circular economy is designed to break it. It minimises waste production and resource depletion by promoting reuse, repair and recycling, extending the lifespan of products and materials so fewer new resources are needed. Recycling is the first step towards it, not the goal.

From a straight line to a loop The linear system has one destination. The circular one does not. LINEAR take materials make products use them throw away CIRCULAR design for reuse make products use and repair recover parts back into the system Recycling is the first step, not the destination. Reuse, repair and remanufacture keep far more value than melting things down.
The return arrow goes back to manufacturing, not to raw extraction. Every loop that skips the extraction step is a saved resource.

Product stewardship

The circular economy runs on product stewardship: responsibility for the sustainable management of a product sits with the manufacturer, the seller and the user. That covers design, manufacturing, use and disposal, with the aim of promoting sustainability and reducing environmental harm. Design matters most — a product that cannot be opened cannot be repaired, and that was decided years before anyone bought it.

IKEA’s furniture leasing schemes are a well-known example. Customers rent furniture for a set period and pay a periodic fee, then return it or renew the lease rather than buying outright. Because the company gets the item back, it has a direct reason to make it last, which extends the lifespan of the furniture and cuts waste.

Two cycles

Watch the leasing example carefully, because it shows what actually drives circularity. Under normal selling, a product breaking after two years is good for the manufacturer. Under leasing, the same breakage is a cost they pay. Nothing about the customer changed — the incentive moved. That is the mechanism, and saying so is worth more than listing the benefits.

Doughnut economics

Doughnut economics, developed by Kate Raworth, is a framework for keeping economic activity inside the ecological limits of the planet while addressing social inequality and injustice at the same time. It is drawn as a ring — a doughnut — with two boundaries.

The doughnut: two boundaries, one safe space A ceiling we must not break through, a floor nobody should fall below needs not being met ECOLOGICAL CEILING climate, biodiversity, pollution going past it is OVERSHOOT THE SAFE AND JUST SPACE people prosper, planet holds SOCIAL FOUNDATION food, water, health, housing, education, equity, voice falling below it is SHORTFALL Above the ring we wreck the planet. Below it, people go without. The green ring is the only place both problems are solved at once.
Most economic models optimise one thing. The doughnut insists on two limits at the same time, which is what makes it harder and more honest.

The space between the rings has been described as a safe and just space for humanity. Aiming to operate inside it is a way of pursuing sustainable development that meets the needs of present and future generations together. Cities have started using it in practice: Amsterdam has adopted the doughnut model to guide policymaking, putting environmental sustainability and social equity into urban development plans.

Both models in one line each circular economy = keep materials in use   |   doughnut economics = stay between the floor and the ceiling

The older models, and what they leave out

The circular flow model is a completely different thing from the circular economy, despite the name. It comes in two versions.

Both versions picture economic activity as a closed system of resource creation and financial exchange. Neither has room for nature. The environment is not simplified in these models — it is invisible, treated as separate from economic activity entirely. That way of thinking is called human-nature dualism, and it has played a large part historically in the overexploitation and degradation of the natural environment.

The embedded economy model

Proposed by the ecological economist Herman Daly in the 1970s, the embedded economy model is the open alternative. It acknowledges that the economy, society and the environment are interconnected, showing the input of solar energy and material resources and the output of heat loss and waste into the Earth’s sinks.

Its key claim is that economic activity is embedded within and dependent upon the natural environment. The economy is contained within society, which is contained within nature. It also gives space to contributions the older models ignore, such as unpaid care work and the commons. The result is more complex, but far more complete — and it points directly at the need for sustainable resource management and social equity.

ModelWhat is inside the boundaryWhat is left out
Two-sector circular flowHouseholds and firms only, exchanging resources, income, output and expenditureGovernment, banks, trade, and the entire natural environment
Five-sector circular flowHouseholds, firms, the financial sector, government and the overseas sector, with injections and leakagesStill the natural environment: no resource inputs, no waste outputs, no limits
Embedded economyEconomy inside society inside the Earth, with solar energy and materials in, heat and waste out, plus unpaid work and the commonsLittle is left out, which is why it is harder to use for quick calculations
You will not be asked to draw these diagrams. You will be asked what each model includes, what it excludes, and why those choices matter. That last part is where the marks are: a model that leaves nature out will never produce a policy that protects nature, because the model has no way of noticing the damage.

Worked examples

WORKED EXAMPLE

A country has an ecological footprint of 4.8 gha per person and a biocapacity of 1.2 gha per person. Its population is 60 million. Calculate the ecological deficit and comment on sustainability. [4]

Step 1: deficit per person 4.8 − 1.2 = 3.6 gha per person Step 2: total deficit 3.6 × 60 000 000 = 216 000 000 gha Step 3: express it as a ratio 4.8 ÷ 1.2 = 4 The country consumes four times what its own land and sea can regenerate. Deficit of 216 million gha: not sustainable Say why it is unsustainable: the shortfall is met by importing biocapacity or by running down natural capital.
WORKED EXAMPLE

Compare the circular economy with doughnut economics. [4]

What they share Both are built on the principles of ecological economics and both aim to increase sustainability by tackling environmental and social challenges inside economic systems. Circular economy: the focus materials → efficient use through product stewardship Reuse, repair and recycling, extending product lifespans to cut waste and resource depletion. Doughnut economics: the focus limits → how much activity is possible without breaking either boundary Staying above the social foundation and below the ecological ceiling. One is about how materials move; the other is about where the limits are A comparison needs both similarity and difference. Do not give only one.

💡 Exam tip

⚠️ Common mix-up

That completes Topic 10 — Environmental Economics. Test yourself across all seven pages: explain a market failure, explain why a commons collapses, value something with no price, calculate a growth rate, judge a decoupling claim, place the economy inside the biosphere, and compare the circular economy with the doughnut. If all seven hold, this topic is finished.

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