IB Economics SL & HL Topic 2.7 — Government Intervention Paper 1 & 2 Diagram skill ~12 min read

Indirect Taxes and Subsidies

Both of these tools do the same thing to a diagram: they move the supply curve. A tax pushes it left, a subsidy pushes it right. The marks are not in the shift though — they are in the three price points that appear afterwards, and in working out who actually ends up paying.

📚 What you need to know

Why the supply curve moves

Think about what a tax actually does to a firm. For every unit it sells, it now has to hand over a slice to the government. So to be willing to supply the same quantity as before, the firm needs a higher price — higher by exactly the tax. Draw that and you get the old supply curve lifted straight up by the size of the tax.

A subsidy is the mirror image. The firm receives extra money per unit, so it is happy to supply the same quantity at a lower price. The curve drops by the size of the subsidy.

The shift, in one line tax → supply moves up by the tax  •  subsidy → supply moves down by the subsidy
Measure the shift vertically, not sideways. Students who slide the curve across instead of lifting it up end up with a gap that is not equal to the tax, and then every number afterwards is wrong.

A specific tax on the diagram

Here is the diagram you will draw more than any other in this topic. Take your time over the three price points, because every calculation in the exam comes out of them.

A specific tax and who carries it Amber box = paid by buyers, blue box = paid by sellers Price Quantity D S S + tax P2 P1 P3 Q2 Q1 A B the tax Buyers pay more, sellers keep less, and less is traded Government revenue is box A plus box B
P3 is easy to forget. Find it by dropping down from the new quantity onto the original supply curve — that is what the seller actually keeps.

🧩 Drawing it in the exam, in order

  1. Draw S and D and label the first equilibrium P1Q1.
  2. Lift supply straight up by the size of the tax. Label it S + tax.
  3. Read off the new equilibrium where S + tax meets D. That is P2Q2.
  4. Drop a line from Q2 to the original S curve. Where it lands is P3.
  5. Shade the box between P2 and P1 (consumer share) and between P1 and P3 (producer share).
  6. Shade both together and you have the government’s tax revenue.
The three formulas you will actually use tax revenue = (P2 − P3) × Q2
consumer share = (P2 − P1) × Q2
producer share = (P1 − P3) × Q2

Who really pays? PED decides

The government collects the tax from the firm. That does not mean the firm carries it. A firm passes on as much as buyers will tolerate, and how much they will tolerate depends on how easily they can walk away.

If demand is inelastic — cigarettes, petrol, insulin — buyers stay even when the price jumps, so the firm can pass most of the tax on. If demand is elastic — one brand of biscuit, a restaurant meal — buyers disappear the moment prices rise, so the firm has to swallow most of it.

The same tax, two very different outcomes The steepness of demand decides the split Demand is inelastic S S+tax D buyers carry most of it Demand is elastic S S+tax D sellers carry most of it Steeper demand means a bigger amber box and a smaller drop in quantity Which is why taxing cigarettes raises money more easily than it cuts smoking
Same tax, same supply curve, different demand. The whole difference in outcome comes from how willing buyers are to walk away.
The rule in one line: the more inelastic side of the market carries the bigger share of the tax. It works for supply too — inelastic supply means the producer carries more.

Subsidies: the same diagram, upside down

A subsidy pushes supply to the right. Price falls, quantity rises, and the government pays for the gap between what buyers hand over and what sellers receive.

Here is the bit students get wrong every single year. On a tax diagram the consumer box sits on top. On a subsidy diagram the producer box sits on top. It makes sense once you think about it: the producer ends up with a price above the old one, and the consumer ends up paying a price below the old one.

A subsidy and who gains from it Blue box = gain to sellers, amber box = gain to buyers Price Quantity D S S + sub seller gets old price buyer pays Q1 Q2 B A Total cost to the government is box A plus box B Producer gain sits on top; consumer gain sits underneath
Read the two shaded boxes as a bill. Every dollar in them comes out of tax revenue, which is where your opportunity cost paragraph starts.
A quick memory hook: with a tax the buyer is the one who gets hurt first, so the buyer’s box is on top. With a subsidy the seller is the one being helped, so the seller’s box is on top.

Judging them

PolicyGood pointsProblems
Indirect taxRaises revenue; makes polluters and heavy users pay; cuts consumption of harmful goods; fairly easy to collectWeak effect if demand is inelastic; hits poorer households hardest as a share of income; can push trade into illegal markets
SubsidyLowers price and raises use of good things like vaccines or clean energy; protects jobs; can be targeted at one industryCosts the government money with a real opportunity cost; can prop up firms that never become efficient; hard to remove once given
A tax on a demerit good is regressive. Two people buy the same packet and pay the same tax, but that tax is a far bigger slice of a low income. That single sentence is a ready-made evaluation point.

Worked examples

WORKED EXAMPLE

Tax revenue and incidence

A government puts a specific tax of $15 per unit on a product. Before the tax, 500,000 units were sold at $40. After the tax, 420,000 units are sold and buyers pay $50. Calculate the tax revenue and the share carried by each side. [4]

Step 1: Find the three prices P1 = $40, P2 = $50, and P3 = 50 − 15 = $35 the seller keeps the buyer’s price minus the tax Step 2: Tax revenue = tax × new quantity 15 × 420,000 = 6,300,000 Tax revenue = $6.3 million Step 3: Consumer share (50 − 40) × 420,000 = $4,200,000 Step 4: Producer share (40 − 35) × 420,000 = $2,100,000 check: 4.2m + 2.1m = 6.3m ✓ buyers carry two thirds, so demand here is fairly inelastic
WORKED EXAMPLE

Welfare loss from the same tax

Using the figures above, calculate the welfare loss caused by the tax. [2]

Step 1: Recognise the shape It is the triangle between the old and new quantity, with height equal to the tax. Step 2: Base and height base = 500,000 − 420,000 = 80,000 units, height = $15 Step 3: Area of a triangle (80,000 × 15) ÷ 2 = 600,000 Welfare loss = $600,000 these are trades that would have made both sides better off, and the tax stopped them
WORKED EXAMPLE

The cost of a subsidy

A government pays a subsidy of $6 per unit on electric bikes. Sales rise to 900,000 units, the price buyers pay falls from $30 to $26, and producers now receive $32. Calculate the total cost to the government and split it between buyers and sellers. [4]

Step 1: Total cost = subsidy × new quantity 6 × 900,000 = 5,400,000 Cost to government = $5.4 million Step 2: Gain to buyers (price fell by $4) (30 − 26) × 900,000 = $3,600,000 Step 3: Gain to sellers (price received rose by $2) (32 − 30) × 900,000 = $1,800,000 check: 3.6m + 1.8m = 5.4m ✓ buyers gained more here because demand is relatively elastic

💡 Exam tip

⚠ Common mix-up

Up next: Price Ceilings and Price Floors — what happens when the government stops arguing with the market and simply forbids a price.

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