IB Economics HL Topic 3 — Macroeconomics Paper 1 & 2 Core skill ~11 min read

Low Unemployment as an Objective

Being unemployed is not the same as not having a job. A retired person, a full-time student and a stay-at-home parent are all jobless, and none of them counts. Get that definition right and the whole topic — the rate, the types, the diagrams — falls into place.

📚 What you need to know

Who counts, and who does not

How the population is divided up WORKING-AGE POPULATION LABOUR FORCE working or looking for work NOT IN THE LABOUR FORCE students, retired, carers EMPLOYED have a job UNEMPLOYED no job, actively seeking onerate = unemployed ÷ labour force × 100The denominator is the labour force, not the whole population
This diagram answers most calculation questions on its own. If a table gives you the population and the number of full-time students, they are almost always distractors.

Two ways of measuring it

FeatureILO labour force surveyClaimant count
How it worksA large sample of households is surveyed every quarterCounts people claiming unemployment benefit
Who decidesRespondents self-assess against ILO criteriaThe benefit rules decide
How strictBroader: ready to start soon and looking recentlyStricter: you must qualify for and claim the benefit
Main strengthThe same method is used worldwide, so comparisons are meaningfulCheap, fast and comes from records that already exist
Main weaknessIt is a sample, so there is sampling errorMisses anyone unemployed who does not or cannot claim
WORKED EXAMPLE

Calculating the unemployment rate

A country has a population of 5,000,000; a labour force of 3,200,000; 2,912,000 people employed; and 400,000 full-time students. Calculate the unemployment rate.

Step 1: pick out what is useful Total population and full-time students are distractors. Students are not in the labour force. Step 2: find the number unemployed labour force − employed = 3,200,000 − 2,912,000 = 288,000 unemployed Step 3: apply the formula (288,000 ÷ 3,200,000) × 100 Unemployment rate = 9% Divide by the labour force. Dividing by 5,000,000 would give 5.76% — a classic lost mark.

The five types of unemployment

TypeWhat causes itExample
Real wageWages are held above the market equilibrium, so supply of labour exceeds demandA minimum wage set above the going rate for young workers
StructuralThe skills workers have no longer match the jobs availableCoal miners in a region where the pits have closed
Cyclical (demand deficient)AD falls in a downturn, so firms need fewer workersRedundancies across a whole economy during a recession
FrictionalWorkers moving between jobs by choiceSomeone who quit in March and starts a new job in May
SeasonalDemand for that work only exists part of the yearFruit pickers, ski instructors, seaside hotel staff
The natural rate of unemployment NRU = frictional + seasonal + structural unemployment

Cyclical unemployment is the one that comes and goes with the business cycle, so it is not part of the natural rate. That is why the NRU is described as the lowest achievable level of unemployment, not zero.

Real wage unemployment on a diagram

A minimum wage above the equilibrium wage wage rate quantity of labour NMW S D Wmin We Qd Qe Qs excess supply of labour = real wage unemploymentAbove the equilibrium wage, more people want work than firms will hire The gap Qd to Qs is the unemployment the wage floor creates
Note that everyone between Qd and Qs wants to work at this wage. That is what makes it involuntary unemployment rather than people choosing leisure.
Cyclical unemployment is best drawn with two diagrams side by side: AD shifting left in the AD/AS model, and the demand for labour shifting left in the labour market. Demand for labour is derived from demand for goods, so the two move together.

Why the headline rate can mislead

The trap in the data. Because discouraged workers leave the labour force, a falling unemployment rate is not proof that things are improving. Check whether employment is rising too. If it is not, people have stopped looking rather than started working.

The costs of unemployment

Who is affectedHow
IndividualsLost income, loss of skills over time, stress and poorer physical and mental health
The governmentLess income tax revenue and more spending on benefits and retraining
FirmsWeaker consumer spending now, and difficulty finding skilled staff once recovery begins
The economyOutput below potential, so a negative output gap and wasted resources
SocietyHigher rates of poverty, homelessness and social problems in badly hit areas

💡 Exam tip

⚠️ Common mix-up

Up next: Low and Stable Inflation as an Objective — how the CPI is built, the two causes of inflation, and why deflation can be worse than inflation.

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