IB Economics HL Topic 4 — The Global Economy Paper 1, 2 & 3 Core idea ~9 min read

The World Trade Organization

The WTO is the referee of world trade. The awkward part, and the part exam questions love, is that this referee cannot actually send anyone off. Understanding why its power is limited is worth more marks than reciting its list of functions.

📚 What you need to know

What the WTO is for

The belief behind the whole organisation is simple: if countries specialise in what they are best at and trade freely, everyone ends up with more. More output, more jobs, higher living standards. The WTO exists to nudge the world towards that.

Key term Trade liberalisation = removing or reducing barriers to trade,
such as tariffs, quotas and administrative rules

Job one: bringing countries together

The WTO organises rounds of negotiation where members sit down and agree to cut protectionist barriers between them. Progress is slow, because every member has industries it wants to protect and agreement usually has to be unanimous.

Job two: settling arguments

If one member thinks another has broken a trade agreement, it files a complaint. The WTO runs a hearing and makes a judgement.

HOW A WTO TRADE DISPUTE WORKS Four stages, and no fines at the end of any of them COMPLAINT a member says a rule has been broken TALKS FIRST both sides must try to settle it PANEL RULES experts hear it and give a judgement GREEN LIGHT winner may put on approved barriers Nobody is forced to comply. There is no fine and no court order. The pressure is economic, not legal The hope is that approved barriers hurt enough to make the guilty member back down
Stage four is the whole system in one box. The WTO cannot punish a country. It can only give the injured country permission to punish back, and hope that is enough.
Say this in an answer and you will stand out: WTO rulings work through the threat of retaliation, not through law. A country big enough to absorb the retaliation can simply ignore the ruling.

Objectives and functions

Objectives — what it is trying to achieveFunctions — what it actually does
Raise living standards and improve people’s livesRun trade negotiations between members
Promote fair competition between countriesPut agreements into practice and monitor them
Protect the environmentSettle disputes between members
Increase trade so more countries share in the gainsBuild trading capacity in poorer member countries
Encourage predictable, rules-based tradeSpeak to governments and other organisations for members

Why the WTO does not always get its way

Two things blunt its influence, and both come down to the same thing: the members are not equals.

UNEQUAL BARGAINING POWER The rules are the same for everyone. The ability to use them is not. who gets their way in a negotiation LARGE ECONOMY picks which rulings to follow SMALL ECONOMY has to accept them Retaliation only works if you are big enough to be worth fearing A small exporter blocking a large importer usually hurts itself far more
This is the honest reason WTO rulings are followed unevenly. A small country that retaliates against a huge trading partner loses its own export market in the process.
ProblemWhat it looks like in practice
Hard to agree on services and primary productsRicher countries subsidise their own farmers, which lets them undercut producers from poorer countries on world markets. Poorer countries cannot afford to match those subsidies.
Hard to agree on services and primary productsFirms from poorer countries are often blocked from selling services in richer markets, and services are where the higher profits usually are.
Unequal bargaining powerRicher members are better connected, better resourced in negotiations, and can lean on outcomes they want.
Unequal bargaining powerPoorer members find it far harder to win preferential terms, so the gains from liberalisation are shared unevenly.

The awkward relationship with trading blocs

Here is the tension. The WTO wants barriers to come down for everyone. A regional trade agreement takes barriers down for members and keeps them up for outsiders. The two aims pull in opposite directions.

Link it back. Regional deals can cause trade diversion, moving trade from the world’s most efficient producer to a bloc member. That is the opposite of what free trade is supposed to deliver, and it happens inside WTO rules.

There are now several hundred regional trade agreements in force worldwide. Each one is a small step away from a single global set of rules and towards a patchwork of overlapping deals.

Worked examples

WORKED EXAMPLE 1

A small developing country wins a WTO ruling against a much larger economy that has been subsidising its farmers. Explain why the ruling may not change anything. [4]

Step 1: what the ruling actually gives Not a fine. It gives the winner permission to impose trade barriers on the losing country. Step 2: who that hurts Tariffs on imports from a large economy raise prices for the small country’s own consumers and firms. Step 3: the size problem The lost sales are tiny for the large economy but the lost imports matter a lot to the small one. The threat is not credible, so the subsidy continues this is why people say WTO enforcement works best between economies of similar size
WORKED EXAMPLE 2

Evaluate the view that regional trade agreements help the WTO achieve its aims. [8-style plan]

For They remove tariffs and quotas between members, so trade genuinely does become freer for a large slice of world trade. they can also act as practice runs, building the habit of negotiating and settling disputes Against They keep barriers up on non-members, and can cause trade diversion away from the most efficient world producer. members must also protect existing bloc rules, which makes global deals harder to reach Judgement It depends on whether the deal mostly creates trade or mostly diverts it, and on how open the bloc’s external tariff is. Freer trade inside, but not freer trade overall

💡 Exam tip

⚠ Common mix-up

Up next: Types of Exchange Rate System — we move from the rules of trade to the price that makes trade possible in the first place.

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