IB Economics HL Topic 3 — Macroeconomics Paper 1 & 2 Core idea ~8 min read

What Shifts Long-Run Aggregate Supply

SRAS shifts change what firms produce today. LRAS shifts change what the country is capable of producing at all. Only four kinds of change can do that, and they are the same four things that push a production possibilities curve outwards.

📚 What you need to know

The four drivers

DriverWhat it meansConcrete example
Quantity or quality of factors of productionMore workers, more land, more capital — or the same amount but betterOpening up skilled migration; training school leavers so they are more productive
Technological advanceNew knowledge lets the same inputs produce moreNew materials, better crop varieties, faster computing
Efficiency improvementsProcess innovation raises output per worker per hourAutomating an assembly line that used to be done by hand
InstitutionsThe rules and organisations that let markets work wellReliable courts, competition law, banks that lend to small firms
Institutions are the driver students forget, and it is often the most powerful one. A country can have oil, workers and machines and still produce very little if contracts are not enforced and nobody can borrow.

Showing it on a diagram

Both models draw the same idea in their own style. Learn both, because the question will tell you which one to use.

Classical: LRAS shifts right Keynesian: AS shifts right price level real GDP LRAS₁ LRAS₂ AD AP₁ AP₂ YFE YFE1 price level real GDP AS₁ AS₂ YFE YFE1 More capacity means more output can be produced at any price level With AD unchanged, the classical model also gives a lower average price level
The classical diagram shows the bonus of supply-side growth: output up and prices down. That is why supply-side policy is often called the answer to growth without inflation.

Reading the classical diagram properly

🧩 Step by step

  1. The economy starts in long-run equilibrium at AP₁ and YFE.
  2. Something raises capacity — say a large improvement in education, which raises the quality of labour.
  3. The whole LRAS shifts right, from LRAS₁ to LRAS₂.
  4. AD has not moved, so the new equilibrium is further down the AD curve.
  5. Output rises to YFE1 and the average price level falls to AP₂.
  6. This is long-run growth: the potential of the economy is genuinely bigger.
Time lag warning. Almost every LRAS policy is slow. Training a nurse takes years; a railway takes a decade. In evaluation, always weigh the long wait against the fact that the effect, once it arrives, is permanent.

Worked example

WORKED EXAMPLE

SRAS shift or LRAS shift?

Classify each of the following: (a) the government cuts the tax on diesel; (b) a national programme retrains 200,000 unemployed workers as electricians; (c) a new port halves the time it takes to move goods.

(a) Diesel tax cut SRAS shifts right It lowers costs today. It does not add any new productive capacity, so LRAS is unchanged. (b) Retraining programme LRAS shifts right It raises the quality of labour, a factor of production. The economy can genuinely produce more. (c) New port Both, in order Lower transport costs shift SRAS right straight away; the extra infrastructure is new capital, so LRAS shifts right too. Ask: does it change costs, or capacity?

💡 Exam tip

⚠️ Common mix-up

Up next: Macroeconomic Equilibrium and Output Gaps — putting AD and AS together to find where the economy actually settles.

Want this explained one-to-one?

Book a free session with an experienced IB Economics tutor and get your trickiest topics made simple.

Book a Free Session →